New York @ Arizona picks

Zac Gallen gets the start for Arizona, and he also looked good against the Mets on May 1, allowing just one run in six innings, but Gallen hasn’t been great overall this year, allowing six homers in his first 38 1/3 innings of work on his way to a 4.93 ERA and 4.34 FIP. This is not the same Gallen who dominated NL offenses in 2022 and 2023, as his WHIP (1.304) has now increased three seasons in a row, while his walk rate has gone above four per nine innings. That’s a questionable formula against a Mets lineup with power and patience, ranking 11th in the majors in homers and fifth in walks. And while Arizona can normally slug with New York, David Peterson represents an awful matchup for this Diamondbacks lineup.

David Peterson has gone Over this number just two times across his six starts and Under in four straight. However, that's moving the price on this in our favor, and I'd rather project his command with a sample over 2+ seasons, which has him walking 0.40 batters per inning. The Diamondbacks also walk at the second-highest rate in baseball. Another great angle here is familiarity. Peterson just saw Arizona, and that edge usually lies with the batters, who get to see the lefty again with the last start fresh in their minds.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for righty batting average.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Posting a 95-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks, Francisco Alvarez has been in great form lately.. Francisco Alvarez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, angling balls between -4° and 26° 58.8% of the time in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for righty batting average.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's game.

Ketel Marte projects as the 14th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for righty batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Randal Grichuk is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for righty batting average.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for righty batting average.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The #3 park in the league for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in this game.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.. Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for David Peterson in today's matchup.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. This matchup is predicted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.