Baltimore @ Minnesota Picks & Props

BAL vs MIN Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Minnesota Twins logo MIN (-160)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

I don't believe in Cade Povich as an MLB pitcher. He's been hit hard over his last four appearances, and I don't think a road start here vs. the Twins is a spot he can pitch well in. The Twins have a bit of momentum on their side after taking two of three in Boston, and now have Pablo Lopez for them. He should be able to limit the O's and get enough run support to pick up the win. 

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BAL vs MIN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

73% picking Minnesota

27%
73%

Total PicksBAL 230, MIN 619

Moneyline
BAL
MIN

BAL vs MIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Coby Mayo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Coby Mayo
C. Mayo
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Hitters such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Pablo Lopez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Coby Mayo logo

Coby Mayo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Hitters such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Pablo Lopez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Among all major league stadiums, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Ty France's launch angle this season (8.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° mark last season.

Ty France logo

Ty France

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Among all major league stadiums, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Ty France's launch angle this season (8.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° mark last season.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Carlos Correa
C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Among all major league stadiums, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Carlos Correa's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 88.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.7-mph in the last week. Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.4°, Carlos Correa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.7°) in the last two weeks. Carlos Correa's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (4.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.7° figure last year.

Carlos Correa logo

Carlos Correa

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Among all major league stadiums, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Carlos Correa's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 88.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.7-mph in the last week. Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.4°, Carlos Correa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.7°) in the last two weeks. Carlos Correa's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (4.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.7° figure last year.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Among all major league stadiums, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 95.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 93.7-mph in the past 14 days. Over the past week, Gunnar Henderson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.7%.

Gunnar Henderson logo

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Among all major league stadiums, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 95.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 93.7-mph in the past 14 days. Over the past week, Gunnar Henderson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.7%.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge today.

Cedric Mullins logo

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge today.

Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Jonah Bride
J. Bride
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Jonah Bride will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage today.

Jonah Bride logo

Jonah Bride

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Jonah Bride will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage today.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Dylan Carlson
D. Carlson
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Dylan Carlson and his 18.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

Dylan Carlson logo

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Dylan Carlson and his 18.9° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle
R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Ryan Mountcastle logo

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Adley Rutschman
A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Adley Rutschman logo

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan O'Hearn
R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Ryan O'Hearn logo

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Royce Lewis
R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Royce Lewis logo

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Brooks Lee will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Brooks Lee has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 85.8-mph figure.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Brooks Lee will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Brooks Lee has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 85.8-mph figure.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ramon Laureano
R. Laureano
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Ramon Laureano has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph mark. Placing in the 80th percentile, Ramon Laureano sports a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.

Ramon Laureano logo

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Ramon Laureano has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph mark. Placing in the 80th percentile, Ramon Laureano sports a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Willi Castro
W. Castro
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .314 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .314 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .347.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup.

Heston Kjerstad Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Heston Kjerstad
H. Kjerstad
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an edge today.

Heston Kjerstad logo

Heston Kjerstad

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an edge today.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Byron Buxton
B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Byron Buxton logo

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best ballpark in baseball for righty base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jackson Holliday
J. Holliday
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jackson Holliday logo

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed base hits. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Baltimore Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +31435
2 stumpmaker 4-5-1 +24450
3 reddog6008 7-2-1 +20117
4 coach_d5 7-3-0 +18885
5 jnc3lb 5-5-0 +16895
6 mccabe40 3-7-0 +16810
7 MLBFan8848 5-5-0 +16285
8 R_MUNDO 4-6-0 +16065
9 Enelra18 4-5-1 +15445
10 Queefs4 5-4-1 +15185
All Orioles Money Leaders

Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
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10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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