Seattle @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst field in MLB for right-handed batting average. In MLB, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 7th-deepest. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the least humidity of the day at 33%. Logan Evans will have the handedness advantage against Wyatt Langford today. Wyatt Langford has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leonardo Rivas in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Leonardo Rivas's launch angle recently (44° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.6° seasonal angle.

The #1 field in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. In MLB, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 7th-deepest. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the least humidity of the day at 33%. From last year to this one, Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.2% to 36.9%. This year, there has been a decline in Corey Seager's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.34 ft/sec last year to 24.5 ft/sec currently.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, J.P. Crawford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games. J.P. Crawford's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (18.4°) is considerably higher than his 13.3° mark last year.

Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 88.5-mph average. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 38.4% to 48.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Randy Arozarena has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100-mph average to last season's 94.2-mph figure. In the last two weeks, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 100-mph over the course of the season to 103.3-mph in recent games. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.9°, Randy Arozarena has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 18° angle in the past 7 days.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Evans throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's matchup. Josh Smith has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Julio Rodriguez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.2-mph average to last year's 94-mph EV. Julio Rodriguez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 98.2-mph. In the last week's worth of games, Julio Rodriguez's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.3%.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 24.7%. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 24.7% on the season to 34.8% over the last two weeks. In notching a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Cal Raleigh is positioned in the 88th percentile.

Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Blaine Crim will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Miles Mastrobuoni will have the handedness advantage against Jacob deGrom in today's game. Miles Mastrobuoni has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.8-mph figure. Miles Mastrobuoni has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .236 mark is a good deal lower than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Miles Mastrobuoni has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile with a 1.54 K/BB rate.

Benjamin Williamson's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Extreme flyball hitters like Benjamin Williamson generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob deGrom.

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Logan Evans. Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Leody Taveras's launch angle from last season's 14.1° to 24.7° this season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Evans in today's matchup. Joc Pederson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Marcus Semien has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.6% to 15.9%.

Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today's game. Rowdy Tellez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last season to 19% this season. Rowdy Tellez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 19% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days. Rowdy Tellez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 97.4-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Polanco has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 19.4% seasonal rate to 36.8% in the past 14 days. Jorge Polanco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.6-mph EV. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 23.6% on the season to 36.8% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 91-mph EV. There has been a significant improvement in Adolis Garcia's launch angle from last season's 14.8° to 23.5° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Out of every team playing today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Josh Jung has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph average. Josh Jung has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95.4-mph.

Samad Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 4 games.