Minnesota @ Boston Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 94.1-mph EV last year has dropped off to 90.7-mph. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3.2°) is considerably worse than his 8.4° angle last season.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Alex Bregman will not have the upper hand in today's game. Typically, hitters like Alex Bregman who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chris Paddack. Alex Bregman has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .421 mark is quite a bit higher than his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Brooks Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Barrel% of Brooks Lee has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.1% last year to 12.2% this year.

Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 7th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Carlos Narvaez has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Carlos Narvaez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Christian Vazquez will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ty France is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jonah Bride will have an edge in today's matchup.

Romy Gonzalez's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Romy Gonzalez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

Carlos Correa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.