Kansas City @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Maikel Garcia meets a tough challenge in today's game. Typically, hitters like Maikel Garcia who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kyle Gibson. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. With a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Maikel Garcia has performed in the 14th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. In terms of plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's skill is quite weak, posting a 4.31 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 13th percentile.

Kyle Gibson will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 3%. Bobby Witt Jr. has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 87.1-mph over the last two weeks.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Salvador Perez will have a disadvantage in today's game. Today, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.6% rate (94th percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Salvador Perez today. Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85.2-mph in the last two weeks. Salvador Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 15.4% on the season to 0% over the last 14 days.

Gunnar Henderson has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 14.1% to 10.1%. In the past week, Gunnar Henderson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.1%.

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's game. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Hitters such as Michael Massey with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kyle Gibson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Emmanuel Rivera has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) may lead us to conclude that Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .290 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Renfroe's true offensive talent to be a .294, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .098 disparity between that mark and his actual .196 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Drew Waters will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Drew Waters pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph lately. In the past week's worth of games, Ramon Laureano's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 30.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Batters such as Jackson Holliday with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Michael Lorenzen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Heston Kjerstad will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. Extreme flyball hitters like Maverick Handley usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Lorenzen. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Maverick Handley will hold that advantage in today's game.