Los Angeles @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
LAA vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Mike Trout has big-time power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Emerson Hancock struggles to strike batters out (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Trout.. Mike Trout has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last season's 96.2-mph average.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 2nd-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Anderson today.. Julio Rodriguez has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jorge Soler as the game's 16th-best home run batter.. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Jorge Soler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jorge Soler has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably lower than his 24.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Jorge Soler has put up a .335 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Total Bases

Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Extreme flyball batters like Cal Raleigh are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Anderson.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has experienced some positive variance this year. His .374 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .333.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mike Trout o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Mike Trout has big-time power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Emerson Hancock struggles to strike batters out (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Trout.. Mike Trout has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last season's 96.2-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

J.P. Crawford o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 23.2%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kevin Newman u1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Kevin Newman is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Kevin Newman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 39% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.