Milwaukee @ Chicago Picks & Props

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers.

Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 94.8-mph in the past week's worth of games. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 53.5% on the season to 74.1% over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.297) implies that Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .257 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Robert Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Hitting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge in today's game. Andrew Benintendi will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Isaac Collins is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Isaac Collins is notably quick, placing in the 84th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.3 ft/sec this year.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Brooks Baldwin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph figure. Brooks Baldwin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 16.9% on the season to 21.1% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Edgar Quero is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Edgar Quero will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Edgar Quero has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, angling balls between -4° and 26° 65.6% of the time in the past 14 days.

Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game. Miguel Vargas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark. Miguel Vargas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 16.5% on the season to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage over Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Matt Thaiss will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Matt Thaiss's talent is quite good, posting a 1.72 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. With a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jackson Chourio grades out in the 88th percentile. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Jackson Chourio sits with a .339 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Shane Smith in today's matchup. Sal Frelick has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 85.8-mph average to last season's 83.4-mph mark.

Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in today's game. Jake Bauers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jake Bauers tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Smith. Over the last 7 days, Jake Bauers's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 36.4% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. Jake Bauers's 22° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 96th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Posting a .337 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, William Contreras finds himself in the 80th percentile for offensive ability. Utilizing Statcast metrics, William Contreras ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .263.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Andrew Vaughn will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Andrew Vaughn has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9.3% rate last year to 14.9% this year.

Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Rhys Hoskins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shane Smith who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Rhys Hoskins's launch angle this year (24.3°) is considerably better than his 20.6° figure last season. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 43.5% on the season to 64.3% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in today's matchup. Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brice Turang has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 15% in the past week's worth of games. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 14.6% on the season to 20% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 20th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge in today's game. Christian Yelich has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Christian Yelich has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 107.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.1-mph.

Joshua Palacios is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Joshua Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers today. Extreme groundball batters like Joshua Palacios tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tobias Myers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Joshua Palacios will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for homers. Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Gage Workman will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Gage Workman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.