Miami @ Seattle Picks & Props

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Using Statcast metrics, Connor Norby ranks in the 80th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .327. Connor Norby's 14.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season. Connor Norby has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 25° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (98th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Dane Myers sits with a .267 batting average since the start of last season.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Evans in today's game. Kyle Stowers is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Stowers has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last season to 16.4% this season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Wagaman in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Eric Wagaman has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 94.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Eric Wagaman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Otto Lopez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Otto Lopez's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.6%. Otto Lopez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .268 figure is quite a bit lower than his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Julio Rodriguez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Over the last week, Agustin Ramirez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power). In the past 7 days, Agustin Ramirez's maximum exit velocity (a good proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 111.2-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball. Agustin Ramirez has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, striking balls between -4° and 26° 60% of the time in the last 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Logan Evans in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jesus Sanchez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Xavier Edwards's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Logan Evans today. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to plate discipline, Xavier Edwards's talent is quite good, posting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

Matt Mervis will have the handedness advantage over Logan Evans in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Mervis has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Matt Mervis pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Jorge Polanco are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Meyer. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Meyer who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Miami (#3-worst of all teams today).

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Evans throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today. Liam Hicks is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Liam Hicks has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Liam Hicks's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (35.6° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 17° seasonal angle.

Leonardo Rivas pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Leonardo Rivas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Leonardo Rivas's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.346) implies that Leonardo Rivas has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .309 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's matchup. Luke Raley will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.P. Crawford can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Donovan Solano has notched a .326 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Benjamin Williamson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph recently.

Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Max Meyer today. Rowdy Tellez has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Miles Mastrobuoni will hold the platoon advantage over Max Meyer in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Miles Mastrobuoni will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Mitch Garver has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Graham Pauley has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.