Philadelphia @ Chicago Picks & Props

Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Hitters such as Kyle Tucker with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Aaron Nola who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Compared to last season, Trea Turner has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.4% to 50.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. J.T. Realmuto has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 7 days. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 45.2% to 55.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Michael Busch is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber's launch angle this season (18°) is a considerable increase over his 14.9° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Aaron Nola. Ian Happ has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last year, Nico Hoerner has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 49.5% this season. As it relates to his batting average, Nico Hoerner has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .275 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .287.

In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Miguel Amaya's launch angle this season (21.8°) is considerably better than his 10.9° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Despite posting a .236 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has suffered from bad luck given the .087 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323. In notching a .271 batting average since the start of last season, Alec Bohm finds himself in the 83rd percentile.

In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon. In the last week's worth of games, Johan Rojas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.8% up to 14.3%. Johan Rojas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last year's 85.5-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.2% to 25%.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Aaron Nola. Vidal Brujan has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Vidal Brujan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 46.9% on the season to 55.2% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jon Berti will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Jon Berti's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 33.3%. Over the last week, Jon Berti's 83.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 57.1%.

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. In the past week's worth of games, Nick Castellanos's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 24.3%.

In MLB, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Carson Kelly has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last year to 20.9% this year. Posting a .345 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Carson Kelly is ranked in the 84th percentile.