Houston @ Kansas City Picks & Props
HOU vs KC Picks
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HOU vs KC Props
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
In today's game, Yainer Diaz is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.1% rate (80th percentile). Extreme flyball bats like Yainer Diaz tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kris Bubic. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Over the past 7 days, Yainer Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%. Yainer Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.5-mph mark last season has dropped off to 89.4-mph.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences in the league — generally bad for home runs. Typically, bats like Jeremy Pena who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kris Bubic. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.3-mph average last year has dropped to 89.2-mph. In the past 14 days, Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 89.2 mph to 84.7 mph.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve today. Jose Altuve's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 15.7% to 8.6%. As it relates to his batting average, Jose Altuve has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .292 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Brown in today's game. Kyle Isbel will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Hunter Brown.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Hunter Brown will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Houston
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an edge today.
Zach Dezenzo Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Zachary Dezenzo will have an edge in today's game.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today's matchup.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate.
Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Hunter Renfroe will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Hunter Renfroe has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Maikel Garcia's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Maikel Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate.
Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston
Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.258) may lead us to conclude that Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average.
Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have the upper hand in today's game.
Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston
Chas McCormick's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Chas McCormick will hold the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic in today's game.
Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Kauffman Stadium projects as the #7 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Cavan Biggio will have the upper hand in today's game. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Houston
Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Christian Walker will have the upper hand in today's game.
HOU vs KC Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 22% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 26 games (-13.30 Units / -43% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 26 games (-9.45 Units / -33% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 10 away games (-7.00 Units / -57% ROI)
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 31% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.05 Units / 55% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+4.85 Units / 33% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 50% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 28 games (-15.75 Units / -47% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 24 games (-12.40 Units / -48% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 18 games (-4.30 Units / -19% ROI)
HOU vs KC Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||