Philadelphia @ Chicago Picks & Props
PHI vs CHC Picks
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PHI vs CHC Props
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Kyle Tucker projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Kyle Tucker has significantly improved, with an increase from 12.9% last year to 19% this season.
Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 20%.
Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 21.2% in the past 14 days. Last season, Pete Crow-Armstrong had an average launch angle of 20.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 24.1°.
Jon Berti Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Jon Berti will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jon Berti are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo. Jon Berti will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 44.4% to 50.7%.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Brown in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Nico Hoerner's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an advantage today. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner is in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .286.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today's game. Max Kepler has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 91.5-mph in the last week's worth of games. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 14.8% on the season to 20% over the past week.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Justin Turner is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Seiya Suzuki will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 25% on the season to 35.3% in the last 7 days.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm's true offensive talent to be a .324, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .085 deviation between that figure and his actual .239 wOBA. Alec Bohm has recorded a .271 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitters such as Johan Rojas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ben Brown who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Johan Rojas has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 85.5-mph mark.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. J.T. Realmuto has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 92.9-mph. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 45.2% to 55.8%.
Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Miguel Amaya will have the upper hand today. Miguel Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Miguel Amaya's launch angle from last season's 10.9° to 21.8° this year.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Ben Brown today. There has been a significant improvement in Kyle Schwarber's launch angle from last year's 14.9° to 18° this year.
PHI vs CHC Trends
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 43% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 67% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 15 games (-8.95 Units / -37% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 13 away games (-8.85 Units / -58% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 19 games (-8.60 Units / -34% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 11 away games (-7.85 Units / -66% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 8 away games (-7.30 Units / -76% ROI)
Chicago Trends
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 23 games (+14.95 Units / 55% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 33% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.75 Units / 32% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 22 games (-11.35 Units / -43% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 25 games (-9.80 Units / -35% ROI)
PHI vs CHC Top User Picks
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||
Chi. Cubs Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | nbahoops | 8-1-1 | +25230 |
| 2 | unique11 | 7-2-1 | +19730 |
| 3 | fleterod | 6-3-1 | +18835 |
| 4 | J_T | 6-4-0 | +17030 |
| 5 | 2YELLOWDOGS | 5-4-1 | +16680 |
| 6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +16225 |
| 7 | teslaxyz | 3-6-1 | +15740 |
| 8 | witt297 | 6-3-1 | +15460 |
| 9 | ggtra333 | 8-1-1 | +15325 |
| 10 | DoctorNo | 5-4-1 | +15070 |
| All Cubs Money Leaders | |||