Houston @ Kansas City Picks & Props
HOU vs KC Picks
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HOU vs KC Props
Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Drew Waters's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Hayden Wesneski in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Drew Waters will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo. The standard deviation of Victor Caratini's launch angle since the start of last season (25.4°) is in the 93rd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Victor Caratini sports a .273 batting average since the start of last season.
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will not have the upper hand in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hayden Wesneski. In the past 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 93.3 mph to 90.1 mph.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today's game.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
Jose Altuve's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Jose Altuve has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 85.6-mph figure.
Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 12.1% to 24%. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Mauricio Dubon has put up a .266 batting average since the start of last season.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today. Vinnie Pasquantino will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Hunter Renfroe will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
Yainer Diaz's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Batters such as Yainer Diaz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Seth Lugo who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz's true offensive talent to be a .323, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .111 difference between that figure and his actual .212 wOBA.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo.
Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Freddy Fermin's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph in recent games.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today's game.
Zach Dezenzo Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.01 ft/sec this year, Zachary Dezenzo is quite athletic.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Maikel Garcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hayden Wesneski.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Houston
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Isaac Paredes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 17.9% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days. In terms of plate discipline, Isaac Paredes's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 95th percentile.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Houston
Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. In the last week, Christian Walker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 18.2%. Christian Walker's launch angle lately (22.5° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 14.9° seasonal figure.
Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. In the last week, Jake Meyers's 83.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.9%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) suggests that Jake Meyers has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .225 actual batting average.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last year, Salvador Perez had an average launch angle of 14.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.9°.
HOU vs KC Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.40 Units / 67% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 24 games (-11.25 Units / -39% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 24 games (-7.25 Units / -28% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 8 away games (-5.75 Units / -55% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 away games (-5.40 Units / -53% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 8 away games (-4.45 Units / -46% ROI)
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 31% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+2.85 Units / 22% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 26 games (-13.40 Units / -43% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 26 games (-10.90 Units / -30% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 22 games (-10.20 Units / -43% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 25 games (-9.25 Units / -28% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 16 games (-6.30 Units / -32% ROI)
HOU vs KC Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||