Seattle @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. This matchup is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Julio Rodriguez will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, J.P. Crawford will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. J.P. Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Last year, J.P. Crawford had an average launch angle of 13.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.9°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Luke Raley will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. Rafael Devers may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Jorge Polanco has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last season's 93-mph mark.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Cal Raleigh has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last year to 25.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Miles Mastrobuoni hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Miles Mastrobuoni has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .240 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .290. The standard deviation of Miles Mastrobuoni's launch angle since the start of last season (23.4°) is in the 92nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Kristian Campbell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. This season, Randy Arozarena has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.7 mph compared to last year's 94.2 mph mark.

The #4 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rowdy Tellez has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last season to 19.4% this year. Rowdy Tellez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Carlos Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .264 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .293.

The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today. Ceddanne Rafaela is quite athletic, grading out in the 84th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.34 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28 ft/sec this year, Benjamin Williamson is quite fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The #4 field in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Moore generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Compared to last season, Dylan Moore has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 18% to 23.9% this season.