St. Louis @ New York Picks & Props

Thomas Saggese's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Pete Alonso has been lucky this year, notching a .471 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .365 — a .106 gap.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Yohel Pozo has been lifting the ball well recently, putting up a 22.7° launch angle in the last 7 days.

The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Francisco Lindor has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 13.6% rate last year has fallen to 4.3% this season. Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.2-mph figure last season has fallen off to 91-mph. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 7.6%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luisangel Acuna's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Luisangel Acuna will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Liberatore today. Luisangel Acuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 14.4% to 18.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Starling Marte is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Tyrone Taylor will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Mark Vientos will have an advantage today.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Luis Torrens will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Liberatore today. Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.