LIVE Bottom 1st May 1
DET 0 -145 o8.0
LAA 0 +134 u8.0
LIVE Top 1st May 1
COL 0 +234 o7.5
SF 0 -261 u7.5
Final May 1
CHC 8 +114 o8.0
PIT 3 -124 u8.0
Final May 1
STL 1 -114 o9.0
CIN 9 +105 u9.0
Final May 1
AZ 4 +142 o8.5
NYM 2 -154 u8.5
Final May 1
KC 8 +146 o8.5
TB 2 -159 u8.5
Final (10) May 1
MIN 3 -121 o9.0
CLE 4 +112 u9.0
Final May 1
MIL 0 -153 o9.0
CHW 8 +141 u9.0
Final May 1
ATH 3 +113 o8.5
TEX 0 -122 u8.5
Final May 1
WAS 4 +155 o10.0
PHI 2 -169 u10.0
Final May 1
BOS 2 -110 o8.5
TOR 4 +102 u8.5

Chicago @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Edgar Quero Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Quero
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Edgar Quero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

M. Vargas
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Alex Bregman will be in a tough position today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) may lead us to conclude that Alex Bregman has been very fortunate this year with his .394 actual wOBA.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Shane Smith throws from, Alex Bregman will be in a tough position today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.303) may lead us to conclude that Alex Bregman has been very fortunate this year with his .394 actual wOBA.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average. In the league, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average. In the league, Fenway Park's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-185
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Jarren Duran's launch angle lately (-5.4° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 10.9° seasonal mark. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (3.7°) is significantly lower than his 8.4° mark last season.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Jarren Duran's launch angle lately (-5.4° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 10.9° seasonal mark. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (3.7°) is significantly lower than his 8.4° mark last season.

Chase Meidroth Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

C. Meidroth
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Chase Meidroth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

K. Campbell
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 17th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 17th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Jacob Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

J. Amaya
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jacob Amaya will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Jacob Amaya has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Jacob Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jacob Amaya will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Jacob Amaya has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Carlos Narvaez will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Carlos Narvaez will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 5th-best field in MLB for right-handed batting average. This game is expected to have the 15th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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