St. Louis @ New York Picks & Props

The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate today at 58°. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Miles Mikolas The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst venue in MLB for right-handed base hits. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game projects the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate today at 58°. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Pete Alonso in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brett Baty has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Brett Baty with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Miles Mikolas who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge in today's matchup. Jesse Winker has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Victor Scott II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. In the last two weeks, Victor Scott II's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.4-mph lately.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage today. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Brendan Donovan's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Brendan Donovan has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Luis Torrens's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games. Luis Torrens has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 63.6% of the time over the last 7 days.

Luken Baker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Luken Baker will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. Luken Baker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Thomas Saggese will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Pedro Pages will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Among every team on the slate today, the 7th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.4% to 18.8%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle this season (20.4°) is considerably higher than his 16.8° angle last year. Notching a 96.4-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days, Tyrone Taylor has been in great form in recent games.

Alec Burleson has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.