St. Louis @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willson Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Compared to last season, Willson Contreras has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 45.9% to 53.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Luisangel Acuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Luisangel Acuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.58 ft/sec this year, Luisangel Acuna is notably quick.

Jesse Winker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand today. Jesse Winker has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jesse Winker will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Jesse Winker's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 86th percentile.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph mark. Nolan Arenado has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.83 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Mark Vientos has compiled a .336 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Victor Scott will have an edge today. Extreme flyball batters like Victor Scott tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Griffin Canning. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Victor Scott has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .247 mark is considerably lower than his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. Brett Baty has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game. Brett Baty has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 5.5% rate last season to 15.4% this season. In comparison to his 86.6-mph average last year, Brett Baty's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.1 mph.

Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luis Torrens will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luis Torrens has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .241 mark is a fair amount lower than his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens's 89.9-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball since the start of last season: 75th percentile. Luis Torrens is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.2% rate since the start of last season).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 24.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today's game. Brendan Donovan has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Jordan Walker's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) has been 116.5 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile. Ranking in the 79th percentile for Sprint Speed at 27.97 ft/sec this year, Jordan Walker is remarkably toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 14.4% to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.291) implies that Starling Marte has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .260 actual batting average. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Starling Marte sits with a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle this year (22.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.8° angle last year. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) implies that Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .291 actual wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Nolan Gorman's 17.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 98th percentile since the start of last season. Nolan Gorman and his 24.7° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 100th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Francisco Lindor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .363.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today's game. Alec Burleson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 15th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.