San Francisco @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Fitzgerald pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Tyler Fitzgerald and his 20.3% rank in the 95th percentile since the start of last season. Tyler Fitzgerald has posted a .369 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Bryce Harper is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Bryce Harper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 9th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have the upper hand today. Jung Hoo Lee has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.5% rate last season to 10.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average ability. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.9-mph. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this year (24.7°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° angle last year.

Mike Yastrzemski has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 97.3-mph in the last week. Mike Yastrzemski's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 20% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Wilmer Flores has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.6°, Wilmer Flores has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 35.2° figure over the past 7 days. Wilmer Flores's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (19°) is a considerable increase over his 14.8° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Last season, Willy Adames had an average launch angle of 22.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 29.5°. Placing in the 75th percentile, Willy Adames sports a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. In the past week, Heliot Ramos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 30.8%. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 23.3% on the season to 38.5% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today. Edmundo Sosa's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to study power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Matt Chapman's launch angle this year (25.5°) is a significant increase over his 16.1° angle last season. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Matt Chapman is in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .341.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Aaron Nola. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 21.7% on the season to 60% over the last 7 days. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .277 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray today. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Nick Castellanos will hold the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Alec Bohm will have the upper hand in today's game. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) provides evidence that Alec Bohm has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .267 actual batting average.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the league. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Sam Huff has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.