Dodger Stadium
Freddie Freeman's speed has declined this year. His 25.74 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 20.61 ft/sec now.
Jacob Stallings is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20% rate since the start of last season).
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Zac Veen will hold the platoon advantage against Landon Knack in today's game. In the past week, Zac Veen's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 109.2-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.
Extreme flyball hitters like Adael Amador generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Landon Knack.
Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game. Mookie Betts's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.3-mph mark last year has dropped to 87.8-mph. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Mookie Betts has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .372 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .350.
Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. There has been a significant improvement in Kyle Farmer's launch angle from last year's 17.8° to 21.6° this year.
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Michael Toglia has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 89-mph.
Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Hunter Goodman's launch angle this year (20.2°) is considerably better than his 16.2° mark last year. Hunter Goodman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .193 mark is a fair amount lower than his .210 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Ryan McMahon's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 16.7%. There has been a significant improvement in Ryan McMahon's launch angle from last season's 9.6° to 18.5° this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Ezequiel Tovar has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week's worth of games. In the past week, Ezequiel Tovar's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.8%.
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 89th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Teoscar Hernandez has notched a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 89th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Michael Conforto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Feltner. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's game. Max Muncy's launch angle lately (30.5° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 14.5° seasonal mark. Compared to last year, Max Muncy has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38% to 51.9% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Extreme groundball bats like Andy Pages tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Feltner. Andy Pages will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Andy Pages has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's game. Tommy Edman has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.6% rate last season to 13.2% this season. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.1% to 27.8%.
Nick Martini is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Nick Martini will have an advantage in today's game. Nick Martini hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Nick Martini has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.4 ft/sec to 28.02 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
Hitting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today's matchup. Mickey Moniak has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, putting up a 19.4° angle on such balls in the last two weeks' worth of games. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 19.5° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Chris Taylor has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .270 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298. Chris Taylor ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20.3% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Chris Taylor's launch angle since the start of last season (24.3°) is in the 90th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
