San Francisco @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Jung Hoo Lee has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.5% rate last year to 10.9% this year.

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have an edge today. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Tyler Fitzgerald has compiled a .369 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's game. Bryson Stott is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Heliot Ramos will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's game. Kyle Schwarber has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Wilmer Flores will have an advantage in today's matchup. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Wilmer Flores has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.5-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 61.3%. Over the past two weeks, J.T. Realmuto's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 70.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Trea Turner has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 23.8% of the time over the past 7 days.

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Over the past 7 days, Patrick Bailey's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.7%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) implies that Patrick Bailey has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .280 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Matos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Luis Matos pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Placing in the 79th percentile, the hardest ball Luis Matos has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in MLB. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today. Bryce Harper is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. Bryce Harper has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph mark.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Matt Chapman will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Justin Verlander. Johan Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today's game. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Max Kepler has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), checking in at the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Alec Bohm has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .267 mark is deflated compared to his .296 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 80th percentile, Alec Bohm has posted a .267 batting average since the start of last season.

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Casey Schmitt will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Casey Schmitt's 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season. Ranking in the 80th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.01 ft/sec this year, Casey Schmitt is remarkably athletic.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.