Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) may lead us to conclude that J.P. Crawford has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .199 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today. Randy Arozarena has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.4% rate last season to 14.3% this season.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Julio Rodriguez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.9-mph average to last season's 94-mph EV.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 20% on the season to 27.3% over the last 7 days.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95.5-mph in the past week.

Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Miles Mastrobuoni will hold that advantage today. Miles Mastrobuoni has been hot of late, notching a 96.8-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Miles Mastrobuoni has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .231 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 11th-best batter in the majors. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) suggests that Marcus Semien has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .296 actual wOBA. Posting a 1.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Marcus Semien has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Rowdy Tellez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power). Rowdy Tellez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 50% of the time over the past 7 days.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. Dustin Harris will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dustin Harris stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Dustin Harris's 25% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Moore tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. Dylan Moore will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Dylan Moore has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 89-mph.

Leonardo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Leonardo Rivas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Leonardo Rivas has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .282 rate is considerably lower than his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Leonardo Rivas has put up a .295 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Leonardo Rivas has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.6° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (84th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Josh Jung has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. In the past week, Josh Jung has displayed impressive power, recording a a 27.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).

Kyle Higashioka pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Kyle Higashioka's 10.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's game. Joc Pederson may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. In the past 7 days, Jake Burger's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.9-mph over the course of the season to 104.2-mph in recent games. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, the hardest ball Jake Burger has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.5 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Logan Gilbert today. Leody Taveras has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. In the past 14 days, Leody Taveras has posted a 30.3° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. When it comes to his batting average, Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .228 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Josh Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's game. Josh Smith has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Josh Smith pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Adolis Garcia has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 12.5% rate last year to 18.9% this season.