Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Jack Suwinski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. Jack Suwinski pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Jack Suwinski has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 96.1-mph. In the last two weeks, Jack Suwinski has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 38.3° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Greene. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 87.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Tommy Pham is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Tommy Pham has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Tommy Pham are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Notching a 97.9-mph average exit velocity in the last week, Tommy Pham has been in great form lately.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Adam Frazier will have an advantage in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) implies that Adam Frazier has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .198 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 41.8% to 52.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold that advantage today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .182 mark is a good deal lower than his .227 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alexander Canario is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Over the past 7 days, Alexander Canario has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power). In the past 7 days, Alexander Canario has averaged an impressive 98.5-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week's worth of games. Jeimer Candelario's launch angle of late (47.5° over the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 11.7° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Carmen Mlodzinski... and even better, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Elly De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Jake Fraley will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 84th percentile, Jake Fraley has put up a .320 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Hunter Greene. Bryan Reynolds has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Enmanuel Valdez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have an advantage today. Enmanuel Valdez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Enmanuel Valdez's 18.1° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the majors: 84th percentile.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and TJ Friedl will hold that advantage in today's game. TJ Friedl has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.3-mph average to last year's 85.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Santiago Espinal has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Santiago Espinal has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

Blake Dunn's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Blake Dunn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Blake Dunn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Blake Dunn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Blake Dunn's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today. Spencer Steer has been lifting the ball well lately, putting up a 24.4° launch angle over the last two weeks.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Noelvi Marte will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Noelvi Marte's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) has been 111.5 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile. Noelvi Marte has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important ability for batting average), grading out in the 89th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Endy Rodriguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Endy Rodriguez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Putting up a 94.6-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days, Endy Rodriguez has been in great form lately. Endy Rodriguez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, angling balls between 23° and 34° 28% of the time in the past 14 days.

Austin Wynns has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Austin Wynns will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Austin Wynns has posted a .297 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Tsung-Che Cheng will have an edge in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.