Washington @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Griffin Conine will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Griffin Conine has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 93.1-mph EV.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Eric Wagaman will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Derek Hill is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Derek Hill will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Hitters such as Derek Hill with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like MacKenzie Gore who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Paul DeJong has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 20.3° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (96th percentile).

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Otto Lopez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Otto Lopez's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 83.5-mph over the last week. Otto Lopez's launch angle this season (1.9°) is quite a bit worse than his 5.4° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Amed Rosario has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time in the last week. Amed Rosario has put up a .350 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Dylan Crews has hit one of the hardest balls in the game over the past two weeks — 111.1-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .244 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jacob Young has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.5-mph to 90.2-mph over the past week. Jacob Young's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 38.9% on the season to 60% over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.277) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .254 actual batting average.

LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jonah Bride will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore Xavier Edwards has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 86-mph figure last year has lowered to 82.2-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.310) provides evidence that Xavier Edwards has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .356 actual wOBA.

LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Liam Hicks will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Liam Hicks's launch angle in recent games (26° over the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 3.7° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, James Wood will have an edge today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Alex Call is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Over the past 14 days, Alex Call's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 54.2% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°. Alex Call has recorded a .428 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Cal Quantrill in this game. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 39.5% to 52.6%.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Javier Sanoja is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Javier Sanoja will have an edge in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Javier Sanoja usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like MacKenzie Gore.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Josh Bell has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 82.8-mph to 95.2-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Graham Pauley has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.