Atlanta @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitters such as Orlando Arcia with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Taj Bradley who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #24 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Yandy Diaz will have a tough challenge today. Extreme groundball batters like Yandy Diaz tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Yandy Diaz's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 92.1-mph figure last year has fallen off to 88.3-mph. Yandy Diaz's launch angle this season (-0.9°) is considerably lower than his 4.8° angle last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game. Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .333 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .370.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Michael Harris II is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Sean Murphy's 10% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Sean Murphy's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 92nd percentile at 96 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Marcell Ozuna's 15.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Taj Bradley in today's game. Jarred Kelenic has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .291 figure is considerably lower than his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jarred Kelenic has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 16.7° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (88th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Bryan De La Cruz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz's 94.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Jake Mangum will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Jake Mangum has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .359.

Ozzie Albies's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball bats like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today.

The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Kameron Misner will have an edge today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.

Taylor Walls has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Drake Baldwin has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.