Texas @ Chicago Picks & Props
TEX vs CHC Picks
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TEX vs CHC Consensus Picks
TEX vs CHC Props
Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Over the past 14 days, Josh Smith's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 40% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. Josh Smith has compiled a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Corey Seager is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.389) implies that Corey Seager has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .359 actual wOBA.
Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Matthew Shaw will hold that advantage today. Matthew Shaw has been lifting the ball well recently, compiling a 22.1° launch angle in the past 14 days.
Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .277 figure is a good deal lower than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Tyler Mahle in this game. Ian Happ has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas
Josh Jung's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Josh Jung will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Josh Jung and his 16.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 77th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.
Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.
Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga today.
Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong's launch angle this year (23.7°) is significantly higher than his 16.7° mark last season. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.
Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Mahle today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Texas
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Burger ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jake Burger will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga today. Jake Burger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Texas
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Kevin Pillar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga today. Kevin Pillar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.3% rate since the start of last season).
Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side against Shota Imanaga in this game. Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jonah Heim has been hot recently, notching a 95.2-mph average exit velocity in the last week's worth of games.
Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.
Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 64.3%. Using Statcast data, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .288.
Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Miguel Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage today. Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • Texas
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have an edge today. Kyle Higashioka pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Kyle Higashioka's 10.8% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season. Kyle Higashioka ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (22.2% rate since the start of last season).
TEX vs CHC Trends
Texas Trends
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.15 Units / 5% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 29 games (-10.00 Units / -28% ROI)
Chicago Trends
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games at home (+12.20 Units / 15% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.85 Units / 11% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 133 games (-30.85 Units / -18% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 69 games at home (-28.20 Units / -35% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games at home (-19.60 Units / -24% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games at home (-18.70 Units / -23% ROI)
TEX vs CHC Top User Picks
Texas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
| 2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
| 3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
| 4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
| 5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
| 6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
| 7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
| 8 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
| 9 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
| 10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
| All Rangers Money Leaders | |||
Chi. Cubs Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | nbahoops | 8-1-1 | +25230 |
| 2 | unique11 | 7-2-1 | +19730 |
| 3 | fleterod | 6-3-1 | +18835 |
| 4 | J_T | 6-4-0 | +17030 |
| 5 | 2YELLOWDOGS | 5-4-1 | +16680 |
| 6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +16225 |
| 7 | teslaxyz | 3-6-1 | +15740 |
| 8 | witt297 | 6-3-1 | +15460 |
| 9 | ggtra333 | 8-1-1 | +15325 |
| 10 | DoctorNo | 5-4-1 | +15070 |
| All Cubs Money Leaders | |||