Miami @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Sanoja are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tylor Megill. Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.69 ft/sec since the start of last season, Javier Sanoja is remarkably athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Dane Myers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Dane Myers tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tylor Megill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batters such as Derek Hill with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tylor Megill who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Derek Hill has hit one of the hardest balls in the league in the past 14 days — 112.3-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power. Derek Hill has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 58.3% of the time in the past two weeks.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Extreme groundball bats like Jonah Bride are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tylor Megill. Jonah Bride has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Graham Pauley will hold the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill today. Graham Pauley has been hot lately, notching a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 14th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Tylor Megill. Xavier Edwards has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Xavier Edwards generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tylor Megill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Otto Lopez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tylor Megill. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.2% rate last season to 12.1% this season.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Kyle Stowers has averaged an impressive 102.2-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.308) may lead us to conclude that Kyle Stowers has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .277 actual wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Pete Alonso has been hot recently, posting a a 37.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Starling Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Starling Marte has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .269 BA is a fair amount lower than his .299 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Max Meyer in today's matchup. Juan Soto may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .297 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322. Tyrone Taylor ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (49.2% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor is notably quick.

Nick Fortes pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has posted a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Nimmo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 13.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 94th percentile at 95.9 mph.

Matt Mervis is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Matt Mervis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Matt Mervis has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power). Matt Mervis has exhibited some good exit velocity stats recently, averaging 105.4-mph on his flyballs in the last week's worth of games.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brett Baty has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage today. Brett Baty has been hot in recent games, compiling a 94.7-mph average exit velocity over the last 7 days.

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Griffin Conine will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill today. Griffin Conine has been hot recently, posting a an 18.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the past 7 days. Posting a 93.5-mph average exit velocity over the past 7 days, Griffin Conine has been in great form in recent games.

In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Hayden Senger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Eric Wagaman has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jesse Winker has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jose Siri has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.