Miami @ New York Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Hayden Senger ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hayden Senger is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game. Citi Field ranks as the #29 field in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 8th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 44°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 6th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Griffin Conine is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Since the start of last season, Griffin Conine has been pinch hit for in 24% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. Citi Field ranks as the #29 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Dane Myers tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Derek Hill's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Extreme groundball bats like Derek Hill usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kodai Senga. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Derek Hill's maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball. In the last 14 days, Derek Hill's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 58.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Extreme groundball hitters like Jonah Bride tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kodai Senga. Jonah Bride has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jose Siri has been lifting the ball well in recent games, posting a 33° launch angle in the past week. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .267 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314. Since the start of last season, Jose Siri's 15% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 95th percentile among his peers.

Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Graham Pauley has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Otto Lopez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kodai Senga who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Otto Lopez has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 5.2% rate last year to 12.1% this season.

Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Torrens has been hot recently, posting a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) in the past week. Over the past 7 days, Luis Torrens's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 41.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Luis Torrens and his 18.7% rank in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga today. Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Kyle Stowers has averaged an impressive 102.2-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Stowers has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .277 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Eric Wagaman has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 40% of the time over the last 7 days. The standard deviation of Eric Wagaman's launch angle has been very consistent in recent games (33.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games), which is a proxy for reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Kodai Senga. Xavier Edwards has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Xavier Edwards generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.

Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .297 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322. Tyrone Taylor is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (49.2% rate since the start of last season). Tyrone Taylor is remarkably fast, grading out in the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Hitting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Valente Bellozo. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luisangel Acuna's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luisangel Acuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Luisangel Acuna usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Valente Bellozo. Luisangel Acuna will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Luisangel Acuna is quite athletic, grading out in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.5 ft/sec this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 13.7% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today. Pete Alonso has been hot lately, putting up a a 37.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the last week.

Juan Soto projects as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup. Juan Soto is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Matt Mervis is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Matt Mervis will have an advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Matt Mervis has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power). Matt Mervis has displayed some good exit velocity benchmarks recently, averaging 105.4-mph on his flyballs in the past week.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a .367 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor is positioned in the 94th percentile for offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand today. Jesse Winker is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jesse Winker has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) in the past week's worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Nimmo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.