Houston @ Minnesota Picks & Props
HOU vs MIN Picks
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HOU vs MIN Consensus Picks
HOU vs MIN Props
Zach Dezenzo Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Ranking in the 78th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.34 ft/sec since the start of last season, Zachary Dezenzo is remarkably fast.
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-driest conditions of the day at 38%. In today's game, Yordan Alvarez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (87th percentile). Typically, hitters like Yordan Alvarez who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Chris Paddack. Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Houston
Brendan Rodgers's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Brendan Rodgers generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chris Paddack. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
Yainer Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences among all parks. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-driest conditions of the day at 38%. Batting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Yainer Diaz faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.
Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. In terms of his batting average, Jake Meyers has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .219 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261. Jake Meyers ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.5% rate since the start of last season).
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader has been hot in recent games, posting a an 18.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) over the last week.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Houston
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.3° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in Major League Baseball.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Extreme groundball bats like Jeremy Pena tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Paddack.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Jose Miranda will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In notching a .283 batting average since the start of last season, Jose Miranda finds himself in the 91st percentile.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ty France is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Ty France will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Byron Buxton will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Houston
Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Over the past week, Christian Walker's maximum exit velocity (a favorable measure of recent form and raw power) has been 112.8-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.
Mickey Gasper Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Ronel Blanco. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Mickey Gasper will hold that advantage in today's game.
Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Carlos Correa ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage today.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage over Ronel Blanco in today's matchup.
Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage today.
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's matchup.
HOU vs MIN Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 147 games (+20.75 Units / 13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 124 games (+14.95 Units / 10% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 105 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 146 games (-35.95 Units / -23% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 127 games (-24.90 Units / -17% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 75 away games (-10.33 Units / -11% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 104 games (+14.40 Units / 13% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 124 games (-26.20 Units / -17% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 102 games (-26.10 Units / -23% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 122 games (-25.55 Units / -14% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 26 games at home (-14.75 Units / -48% ROI)
HOU vs MIN Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||