Arizona @ Washington Picks & Props
AZ vs WAS Picks
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AZ vs WAS Consensus Picks
AZ vs WAS Props
James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Jose Herrera pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Herrera are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brad Lord.
Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington
Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Corbin Burnes in today's game. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brad Lord in today's game.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 87-mph figure. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 44%.
Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Crews has shown some good exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging 103.4-mph on his flyballs over the last week.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Jake McCarthy generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Brad Lord.
Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Paul DeJong tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Corbin Burnes. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul DeJong has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 20.7° figure is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (98th percentile).
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Josh Bell has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Josh Bell has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 29.8° angle.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Typically, batters like Gabriel Moreno who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brad Lord. Utilizing Statcast data, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 78th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .269.
Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Jose Tena is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jose Tena will have the upper hand in today's game. Jose Tena has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's game.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage today. Alek Thomas has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Typically, batters like Alek Thomas who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brad Lord.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been hot lately, notching a a 21.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the last week.
Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eugenio Suarez has been hot lately, compiling a a 33.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) in the past 14 days. Eugenio Suarez has been hot of late, putting up a 99.8-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.277) implies that Jacob Young has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .251 actual batting average. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Jacob Young sits with a .317 BABIP since the start of last season.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Arizona
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today. Garrett Hampson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Garrett Hampson grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.83 ft/sec since the start of last season, Garrett Hampson is notably toolsy.
AZ vs WAS Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 110 games (+27.65 Units / 23% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+16.85 Units / 30% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 away games (+12.35 Units / 17% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 106 games (-42.90 Units / -37% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 46 games (-14.20 Units / -25% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games (+5.20 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 154 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 72 games at home (-14.52 Units / -17% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 77 games at home (-14.50 Units / -16% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 89 games (-14.45 Units / -15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 71 of their last 155 games (-11.75 Units / -7% ROI)
AZ vs WAS Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||