Miami @ Atlanta Picks & Props
MIA vs ATL Picks
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MIA vs ATL Props
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Cal Quantrill Extreme flyball batters like Ozzie Albies generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Cal Quantrill. With a .267 BABIP since the start of last season, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 18th percentile.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Notching a -2.9° launch angle in the last two weeks' worth of games suggests that Michael Harris II has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Michael Harris II ranks in just the 7th percentile with a 6.9° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the majors. By putting up a 4.4 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Michael Harris II has displayed bad plate discipline, checking in at the 12th percentile.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Today, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (94th percentile). Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Xavier Edwards has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.309) may lead us to conclude that Xavier Edwards has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .349 actual wOBA.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Truist Park projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver today.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. In the last week, Nick Fortes has displayed impressive power, recording a a 28.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power).
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Cal Quantrill will hold the platoon advantage over Marcell Ozuna today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 2nd-deepest LF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Marcell Ozuna has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power). Marcell Ozuna has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the last 7 days.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. In the last week, Jonah Bride has posted a 40° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. With a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jonah Bride has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Bats such as Derek Hill with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the same side that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Otto Lopez's launch angle from last season's 5.4° to 1.7° this year. Posting a 1.7° launch angle in the last 14 days suggests that Otto Lopez has been finding it challenging to lift the ball of late, which is a key component of hitting for power.
Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami
Truist Park projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Graham Pauley will have the handedness advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver in today's game.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 8th-weakest among every team playing today.
Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami
Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Nick Allen are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Cal Quantrill.
Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Austin Riley projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°.
Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami
Truist Park projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver in today's matchup.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Truist Park projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill in today's game.
Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Truist Park projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill today. Jarred Kelenic is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Matt Mervis will have an advantage in today's game.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
Truist Park projects as the #5 park in the league for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Griffin Conine will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
MIA vs ATL Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 71 games (+17.80 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 78 away games (+14.50 Units / 16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+14.10 Units / 40% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 73 of their last 135 games (+13.95 Units / 9% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 70 games (-27.50 Units / -34% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 154 games (-27.50 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 135 games (-25.40 Units / -17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 80 away games (-24.80 Units / -26% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 144 games (-18.90 Units / -10% ROI)
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 96 of their last 152 games (+39.80 Units / 24% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 152 games (-53.80 Units / -32% ROI)
MIA vs ATL Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||