Arizona @ Washington Picks & Props
AZ vs WAS Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
AZ vs WAS Consensus Picks
AZ vs WAS Props
Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington
When starting against a left-handed starter since the start of last season, Amed Rosario has been pulled from the game early 24% of the time. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Amed Rosario has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .303 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .285.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's game. From last season to this one, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.6 mph to 89.3 mph.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the last week, Geraldo Perdomo has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Alek Thomas has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Alek Thomas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitchell Parker. Alek Thomas has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .278 rate is a fair amount lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Jake McCarthy has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Jake McCarthy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitchell Parker who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In MLB, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Gabriel Moreno will hold the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Dylan Crews will have an advantage today.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.
Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup.
Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge today. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington
The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Alex Call will have an edge today. Alex Call will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Arizona
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Garrett Hampson will have the handedness advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Garrett Hampson grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington
Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Josh Bell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez.
Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Riley Adams has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Paul DeJong will have an edge in today's game. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game.
AZ vs WAS Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 101 games (+29.15 Units / 26% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+16.85 Units / 30% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 away games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 106 games (-42.90 Units / -37% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 46 games (-14.20 Units / -25% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 154 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+5.45 Units / 13% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 78 games at home (-15.50 Units / -17% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 72 games at home (-14.52 Units / -17% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 89 games (-14.45 Units / -15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 71 of their last 156 games (-12.85 Units / -8% ROI)
AZ vs WAS Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||