LIVE Bottom 1st May 4
NYM 1 -115 o8.5
STL 0 +107 u8.5
KC +130 o9.0
BAL -141 u9.0
SD -106 o9.0
PIT -102 u9.0
MIN +171 o8.5
BOS -188 u8.5
TB +141 o9.0
NYY -153 u9.0
CLE -112 o8.5
TOR +104 u8.5
ATH -104 o9.0
MIA -104 u9.0
AZ +135 o8.5
PHI -147 u8.5
CHC -108 o8.0
MIL +100 u8.0
HOU -158 o8.0
CHW +145 u8.0
SEA +157 o8.5
TEX -172 u8.5
COL +324 o7.5
SF -373 u7.5
DET -167 o8.5
LAA +153 u8.5
WAS +102 o8.5
CIN -110 u8.5
NYM -138 o7.5
STL +128 u7.5
LAD -124 o9.5
ATL +114 u9.5

Miami @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

D. Myers
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dane Myers's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Dane Myers's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bride
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°.

Jonah Bride

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

K. Stowers
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Meyer. Ozzie Albies will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ozzie Albies's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Extreme groundball hitters like Ozzie Albies are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Meyer. Ozzie Albies will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Graham Pauley Total Hits Props • Miami

G. Pauley
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Graham Pauley will have an advantage in today's game.

Graham Pauley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Graham Pauley will have an advantage in today's game.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Spencer Schwellenbach.

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Spencer Schwellenbach.

Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Hicks
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage today.

Liam Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage today.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Austin Riley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Austin Riley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Drake Baldwin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game. Drake Baldwin has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Drake Baldwin will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Drake Baldwin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game. Drake Baldwin has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Drake Baldwin will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Nick Allen will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Nick Allen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Nick Allen will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 19th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Matt Olson may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Olson projects as the 19th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Matt Olson may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Marcell Ozuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Marcell Ozuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-305
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-305
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Max Meyer in today's game. Michael Harris II may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage over Max Meyer in today's game. Michael Harris II may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta

J. Kelenic
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jarred Kelenic hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jarred Kelenic hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jarred Kelenic will hold that advantage in today's game.

Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami

G. Conine
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Griffin Conine is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Griffin Conine will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game. Out of every team today, the 6th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Griffin Conine

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Griffin Conine is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Griffin Conine will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game. Out of every team today, the 6th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami

M. Mervis
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Matt Mervis is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand today. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Matt Mervis is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand today. Matt Mervis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast