Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's game. Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .202 BA is a good deal lower than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Adam Frazier is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.4% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Drew Rasmussen today.

The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field. Carmen Mlodzinski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Mlodzinski's large platoon split. In the past week, Yandy Diaz has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power). Over the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz's swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. Yandy Diaz and his 1.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 1st percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. With a .272 batting average since the start of last season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has performed in the 80th percentile.

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand today. Jack Suwinski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Mangum pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jonny Deluca will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen's 21.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in Major League Baseball: 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Carmen Mlodzinski's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew McCutchen has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 57.1% of the time over the last 14 days.

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Taylor Walls ranks in the 83rd percentile with a 18° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

Tommy Pham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Over the last 7 days, Tommy Pham's maximum exit velocity (a favorable measure of recent form and raw power) has been 111-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage over Carmen Mlodzinski today... and even more favorably, Mlodzinski has a large platoon split. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Joey Bart has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, posting a 26.8° angle on such balls in the last 14 days. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Joey Bart has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.5 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), placing in the 78th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 7th-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team today.

Enmanuel Valdez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Endy Rodriguez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.