Pittsburgh @ Miami Picks & Props
PIT vs MIA Picks
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PIT vs MIA Consensus Picks
PIT vs MIA Props
Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded a .272 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. Otto Lopez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Otto Lopez has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 84-mph on his flyballs. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Otto Lopez ranks in just the 4th percentile with a 5.4° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.
Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for LHB batting average. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage today.
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Derek Hill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Derek Hill generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Heaney.
Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jared Triolo has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° 27.3% of the time over the last two weeks. Jared Triolo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .275 mark is a good deal lower than his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for LHB batting average. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Griffin Conine will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Griffin Conine's 95.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for LHB batting average. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Andrew McCutchen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Endy Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for LHB batting average. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. Xavier Edwards has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and will be challenged by the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Xavier Edwards has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power). Xavier Edwards has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .359 figure is quite a bit higher than his .312 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 0th percentile, the hardest ball Xavier Edwards has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 102.7 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Thomas Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Tommy Pham is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Tommy Pham's maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 111-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.
Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for LHB batting average. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Max Meyer.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Dane Myers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's matchup.
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Adam Frazier is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for LHB batting average. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Adam Frazier will have an advantage today. Adam Frazier will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Jack Suwinski is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for LHB batting average. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an edge today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami
Eric Wagaman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Eric Wagaman will have an edge today. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Jonah Bride will have the upper hand today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Nicholas Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Nick Fortes will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Javier Sanoja will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
PIT vs MIA Trends
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 73 away games (+6.40 Units / 8% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.55 Units / 62% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Team Total Over in 71 of their last 157 games (-27.55 Units / -15% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 157 games (-16.35 Units / -9% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 144 games (-15.85 Units / -9% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 66 games (-14.50 Units / -18% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 77 games at home (+27.05 Units / 32% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 70 games (+18.85 Units / 22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 79 games at home (-35.40 Units / -41% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 157 games (-28.70 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 70 games (-27.50 Units / -34% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 160 games (-26.55 Units / -13% ROI)
PIT vs MIA Top User Picks
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||