MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 24, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, May 24 • 12:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Dylan Cease logo Dylan Cease o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Dylan Cease has racked up Over 8.5 Ks in three straight starts and faces a Pirates team that strikes more than nine times per game.

Cease relies on his changeup and slider to get whiffs, and those are two pitches the Pirates are not hitting well this year.

Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 14th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best park in baseball for LHB home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 24 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+178)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso has posted a .260 BABIP this year, placing in the 24th percentile.
Total Hits
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson u0.5 Total Hits (+104)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 6th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Weston Wilson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. 54% of the time that Weston Wilson has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. This year, there has been a decline in Weston Wilson's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.15 ft/sec last year to 26.71 ft/sec currently.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, May 24 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kyle Schwarber logo Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Kyle Schwarber isn't too far removed from a stretch where he hit nine homers in eight games, and he'll enjoy home-field advantage at one of the most home run-friendly venues in the majors.

Guardians starter Parker Messick has allowed five dingers in his last four games, while Schwarber is tied for second in HRs vs. lefties (6).

Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an edge today.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, May 24 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mickey Gasper logo
Mickey Gasper u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Gasper in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Mickey Gasper has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the lowest temperature of the day at 50°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.
Total Hits
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the lowest temperature of the day at 50°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.. Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Byron Buxton will not have the upper hand today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, May 24 • 1:35 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo u7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The Over record is 6-3-1 between the Rays and Yankees in the last 10 meetings. Tampa is also one of the top scoring teams in the majors over the last week.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Tampa has won 24 of its last 27 vs American League opponents, including four straight vs the Yankees.

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New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, May 24 • 1:40 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Liam Hicks logo
Liam Hicks u0.5 Total Hits (+189)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Liam Hicks has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, going from 45.8% on the season to 31.6% in the last 14 days.. Liam Hicks has been lucky this year, putting up a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .026 deviation.
Total Hits
MJ Melendez logo
MJ Melendez u0.5 Total Hits (-102)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. 53% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, May 24 • 1:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-156)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 14 times in two meetings vs. the Reds, and they'll do plenty more damage against Brady Singer, who has an 8.47 ERA this month.

Jordan Walker already has three runs, four hits, and seven RBI in the series. His hot streak continues today.

Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker logo Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+335)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Reds starter Brady Singer has allowed three dingers in two straight starts, and 2+ homers in four of his last five.

Jordan Walker has gone yard in two straight games and has feasted on right-handed pitching, batting .311 with 11 of his 15 home runs vs. righties.

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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, May 24 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Shohei Ohtani enters Sunday on a nine-game hit streak, with Over 1.5 total bases in eight of those contests. 

He'll feast against Brewers starter Brandon Sproat, who has a bloated 1.50 WHIP this season after allowing 38 hits in 40 2/3 innings.

Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+250)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Over his past nine games, Shohei Ohtani leads the majors in batting average (.467), wxOBA (.530), and sits second in slugging percentage (.867).

Ohtani will enjoy a favorable matchup against Brewers starter Brandon Sproat, who has allowed at least one dinger in four of his last five starts and carries a massive 5.75 ERA this season.

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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sun, May 24 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+177)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Jac Caglianone will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jac Caglianone has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+164)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carter Jensen is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Carter Jensen will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Carter Jensen can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, May 24 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Wrigley Field ranks as the #24 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is predicted to have the 4th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Isaac Paredes usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team today.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The 7th-shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.. Posting a .384 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Seiya Suzuki has performed in the 97th percentile for offensive skills.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Seiya Suzuki grades out in the 94th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 33.900.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, May 24 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of the day.. Batting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Munetaka Murakami meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 21.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 16% in the past two weeks.
Total Bases
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oracle Park ranks as the #23 field in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oracle Park has the highest fences among all major league parks.. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of the day.. Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, May 24 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. 37% of the time that Carlos Cortes has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. The #1 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as Major League Baseball's 19th-best home run hitter.. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the majors, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Shea Langeliers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Shea Langeliers's launch angle this season (20.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.3° mark last year.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, May 24 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Foster Griffin throws from, Matt Olson will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Over the past week, Matt Olson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.9% down to 0%.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 17.7°, Matt Olson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the last two weeks.. Matt Olson has been lucky this year, putting up a .377 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .028 deviation.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sun, May 24 • 4:10 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Sterlin Thompson logo
Sterlin Thompson u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sterlin Thompson is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Sterlin Thompson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Sterlin Thompson is remarkably slow, grading out in the 4th percentile in Sprint Speed at 24.45 ft/sec this year.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 15th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jose Quintana.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 24 • 6:05 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the coldest weather of all games today at 53°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. In the last week, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 82.5 mph.. Adley Rutschman has recorded a .252 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile.
Total Home Runs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.9°, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Based on Statcast metrics, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 89th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 30.400.. Power-wise, Spencer Torkelson finds himself in the 77th percentile, having averaged 22.4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, May 24 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Sam Haggerty logo
Sam Haggerty u0.5 Total Hits (-110)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sam Haggerty in today's matchup.. Since the start of last season, Sam Haggerty's 2.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 16th percentile among his peers.. Sam Haggerty's 89.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.
Total Hits
Michael Helman logo
Michael Helman u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Helman in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Michael Helman is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Michael Helman pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Michael Helman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 7 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo New York Yankees logo u7.0 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I'm on the market here and wouldn't play this below 7, but at a plus-money price with how the Yankees are swinging lately, I'm inclined to lean towards the Under. The Yankees' offense, one of the best in the sport for long stretches over the past three years, has really struggled lately. It's been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its past 14 games. It should be ugly conditions in Yankee Stadium today, add in Ryan Weathers' strikeout rate, which ranks in the 97th percentile of baseball, and both offenses should stay fairly quiet.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+122)
Pick made: yesterday
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Rasmussen has been a New York Yankees nightmare, posting a 1.03 ERA across eight career outings against the Bronx Bombers. This type of stat is meaningless without context, and we have it here. He's been able to do this because the Yankees are constantly reliant on their power, and Rasmussen is one of the best barrel suppression arms in baseball, sitting in the 96th percentile in such rates this season. Playbale to +100. 

View 12 Picks

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