Atlanta @ Miami Picks & Props
ATL vs MIA Picks
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ATL vs MIA Consensus Picks
77% picking Atlanta
Total PicksATL 356, MIA 109
ATL vs MIA Props
Gio Urshela Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Gio Urshela is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Adam Oller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gio Urshela in today's game. Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. There has been a significant improvement in Orlando Arcia's launch angle from last season's 5.5° to 8.9° this season.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.7-mph now compared to just 90.3-mph then. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.347) may lead us to conclude that Jesus Sanchez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .311 actual wOBA.
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Adam Oller throws from, Marcell Ozuna faces a tough challenge today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Connor Norby is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Connor Norby will have an edge today. Connor Norby will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Ramon Laureano's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. Ramon Laureano has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.7% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the last two weeks. Last season, Ramon Laureano had an average launch angle of 13.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.8°.
Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Atlanta
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Jorge Soler has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.6% seasonal rate to 29.6% in the past 14 days. Jorge Soler has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.
Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Michael Harris II's talent is quite weak, sporting a 4.39 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 12th percentile.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Max Fried. Xavier Edwards will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's game.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Matt Olson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Oller today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Nick Fortes's launch angle lately (24.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 15.4° seasonal mark.
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Derek Hill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Derek Hill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage today.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
Jonah Bride is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jonah Bride will have an advantage in today's game. Jonah Bride will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Bride has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week.
Cristian Pache Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Cristian Pache will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage in today's game. Cristian Pache has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.84 ft/sec to 28.49 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Cristian Pache's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in baseball since the start of last season: 80th percentile.
Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami
Javier Sanoja's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. Javier Sanoja will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Javier Sanoja will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB BABIP. Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's matchup. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
Griffin Conine has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
ATL vs MIA Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 140 games (+34.85 Units / 22% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 28 away games (+12.85 Units / 35% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.05 Units / 35% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 75 away games (+6.94 Units / 8% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 142 games (-47.80 Units / -31% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 130 games (-31.55 Units / -16% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 75 away games (-16.55 Units / -18% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 37 away games (-13.60 Units / -32% ROI)
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 79 games at home (+32.05 Units / 37% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.85 Units / 17% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have not hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in any of their last 49 games (-49.00 Units / -100% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 79 games at home (-38.65 Units / -45% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 154 games (-32.21 Units / -16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 62 games (-20.90 Units / -29% ROI)
ATL vs MIA Top User Picks
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||