Atlanta @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Elly De La Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Jonathan India will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Matt Olson's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 93.7-mph EV last season has fallen off to 91.1-mph.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. There has been a significant improvement in Orlando Arcia's launch angle from last year's 5.5° to 8.8° this season.

Considering Julian Aguiar's large platoon split, Marcell Ozuna will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcell Ozuna today. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 17.1% on the season to 7.1% over the last 7 days. Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has been lucky given the .051 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Whit Merrifield has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Michael Harris II hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 92.4 mph to 90.1 mph. Michael Harris II has posted a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 20th percentile. Michael Harris II has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 13th percentile with a 4.35 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ty France is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and TJ Friedl will hold that advantage today. Last year, TJ Friedl had an average launch angle of 5.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 11°. Over the last 7 days, TJ Friedl's 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.2%.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Travis d'Arnaud has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Amed Rosario is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Amed Rosario will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Santiago Espinal has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Santiago Espinal will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 7th-worst infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Noelvi Marte will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Spencer Steer will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage today. Jake Fraley has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 84.2-mph EV. Sporting a .329 BABIP this year, Jake Fraley is ranked in the 89th percentile.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Chris Sale's large platoon split, Luke Maile will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Blake Dunn will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.