San Francisco @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Grant McCray will have an advantage in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Adley Rutschman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .319 figure is quite a bit lower than his .348 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Anthony Santander has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today's matchup. Jackson Holliday will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.276) implies that Jackson Holliday has experienced some negative variance this year with his .229 actual wOBA.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Brett Wisely will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Brett Wisely's launch angle of late (51° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 16.2° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #8 park in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Emmanuel Rivera has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark. Emmanuel Rivera's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (21.2° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 7.8° seasonal mark.

The #8 park in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. James McCann will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) may lead us to conclude that James McCann has had some very poor luck this year with his .263 actual wOBA. James McCann has notched a .260 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Tyler Fitzgerald is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #8 park in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Ranking in the 94th percentile, Tyler Fitzgerald has posted a .376 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's game. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The #8 park in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Curt Casali's speed has improved this season. His 23.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.47 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .244 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Curt Casali has had bad variance on his side given the .036 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280. Curt Casali's 21.2° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 park in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Heliot Ramos has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Heston Kjerstad will hold the platoon advantage over Hayden Birdsong in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the schedule today (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Patrick Bailey has experienced some negative variance this year. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #8 ballpark in the game for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Livan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hayden Birdsong in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Livan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Marco Luciano has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.