Final Oct 8
PHI 2 -110 o7.0
NYM 7 +102 u7.0
Final Oct 8
LAD 5 +131 o7.5
SD 6 -143 u7.5
MLBN, RSN, YES Network

New York @ Seattle props

T-Mobile Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jasson Dominguez Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Dominguez
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jasson Dominguez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Posting a 96.7-mph average exit velocity in the last week's worth of games, Jasson Dominguez has been in great form in recent games. Jasson Dominguez has recorded a .400 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jasson Dominguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jasson Dominguez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Posting a 96.7-mph average exit velocity in the last week's worth of games, Jasson Dominguez has been in great form in recent games. Jasson Dominguez has recorded a .400 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Soto
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Chisholm Jr.
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Gil today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Gil today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Polanco
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 28.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 20.7°.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 28.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 20.7°.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 26.1% down to 18.8%.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 26.1% down to 18.8%.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Seattle

L. Raley
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Alex Verdugo will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .236 mark is a good deal lower than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Alex Verdugo will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .236 mark is a good deal lower than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rojas
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas's launch angle recently (30.3° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 14.5° seasonal figure.

Josh Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas's launch angle recently (30.3° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 14.5° seasonal figure.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Wells is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Wells is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 16.9% on the season to 36.8% over the last 7 days.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 16.9% on the season to 36.8% over the last 7 days.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rodriguez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.2°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37.5° mark in the last week's worth of games.

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.2°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37.5° mark in the last week's worth of games.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.1-mph average to last season's 95.2-mph EV.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.1-mph average to last season's 95.2-mph EV.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Anthony Volpe has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .246 mark is quite a bit lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Anthony Volpe has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .246 mark is quite a bit lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Rizzo's true offensive ability to be a .303, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .275 wOBA.

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Rizzo's true offensive ability to be a .303, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .275 wOBA.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Turner
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Justin Turner has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.9-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.9-mph figure. Justin Turner's launch angle of late (30.1° in the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 18° seasonal angle.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Justin Turner has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.9-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 86.9-mph figure. Justin Turner's launch angle of late (30.1° in the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 18° seasonal angle.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Seattle

V. Robles
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage today. Victor Robles has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 92.9-mph in the past week.

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage today. Victor Robles has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 92.9-mph in the past week.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Bryan Woo) in today's game. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Oswaldo Cabrera's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 37.3% to 43.2%.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Bryan Woo) in today's game. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Oswaldo Cabrera's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 37.3% to 43.2%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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