New York @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Jose Iglesias has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for righty base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Jose Iglesias has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .062 deviation.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #27 venue in the majors for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Batting from the same side that Kolby Allard throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a tough matchup in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 3.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Johan Rojas has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 90.3-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for righty base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.3-mph.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Starling Marte is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Starling Marte will have an advantage in today's game. Compared to last season, Starling Marte has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.4% to 49.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an edge today.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Bryson Stott's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage over Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure. This season, Harrison Bader has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90 mph compared to last year's 88 mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cal Stevenson will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Cal Stevenson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.