Miami @ New York Picks & Props

Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate today. Roddery Munoz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Iglesias in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jose Iglesias's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 83 mph to 78.2 mph.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Kyle Stowers will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Stowers has been unlucky this year. His .227 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Ali Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ali Sanchez's true offensive talent to be a .265, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .086 difference between that mark and his actual .179 wOBA.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, David Hensley will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today. David Hensley has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .199 rate is quite a bit lower than his .243 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Jonah Bride will have an edge today. Jonah Bride pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today. In the last 7 days, Jonah Bride's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 96.5-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 93.3-mph in the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game. Pete Alonso has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jeff McNeil has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 89.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Roddery Munoz throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage in today's game. Jesse Winker has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jesse Winker will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 79th percentile, Jesse Winker sits with a .340 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. J.D. Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. J.D. Martinez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 95.4-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Derek Hill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Derek Hill will have the upper hand today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck given the .051 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 12.7% on the season to 30% over the last 7 days. With a .337 BABIP this year, Francisco Alvarez is positioned in the 87th percentile.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Emmanuel Rivera will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.7-mph. Emmanuel Rivera has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .211 rate is a fair amount lower than his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.