Houston @ Tampa Bay props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. Jose Siri has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 94-mph EV. Jose Siri has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .281 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 5th-worst field in MLB for righty base hits. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today's game. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 5th-worst field in MLB for righty base hits. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Bregman today. Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 5th-worst field in MLB for righty base hits. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Zack Littell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 5th-worst field in MLB for righty base hits. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

The #5 stadium in MLB for suppressing base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Yordan Alvarez is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#2-best of the day).

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage today. In terms of his batting average, Christopher Morel has had some very poor luck this year. His .190 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .223.

Dylan Carlson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Dylan Carlson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Last season, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 23.9°. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dylan Carlson has been unlucky given the .045 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 14th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .316 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yandy Diaz has been unlucky given the .030 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last year, Brandon Lowe has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 20.9% this season.

Chas McCormick's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chas McCormick has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Chas McCormick has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Chas McCormick has experienced some negative variance this year. His .202 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .227.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the league. Putting up a 95.8-mph average exit velocity in the last week's worth of games, Zachary Dezenzo has been in great form of late.

Jon Singleton is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Jon Singleton will have an edge today. This year, the hardest ball Jon Singleton has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), placing in the 93rd percentile.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Taylor Walls has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 90.5-mph over the last 7 days. Taylor Walls's launch angle recently (27° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 17.8° seasonal angle. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Taylor Walls's true offensive skill to be a .283, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .040 gap between that mark and his actual .243 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Mauricio Dubon has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 3.3% to 10.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the league. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 18.7% on the season to 28.6% in the last week. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 40% to 46.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Jake Meyers has had bad variance on his side this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today's game. Ben Rortvedt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Ben Rortvedt will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.3°, Ben Rortvedt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.7°) over the last two weeks. By putting up a .356 BABIP this year, Ben Rortvedt finds himself in the 91st percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Pedro Leon has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 7 games.