San Diego @ Baltimore props

In today's game, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.7% rate (75th percentile). In the past week's worth of games, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.4% down to 0%. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 95.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.5-mph in the last week's worth of games. Gunnar Henderson's launch angle lately (3.5° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 9° seasonal mark. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive talent to be a .361, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .033 deviation between that figure and his actual .394 wOBA.

Ryan Mountcastle has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the same side that Adam Mazur throws from, Ryan Mountcastle encounters a tough challenge today. Ryan Mountcastle has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph dropping to 79.2-mph in the last week. Ryan Mountcastle's launch angle of late (6.6° in the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 10.7° seasonal angle. Ryan Mountcastle has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 21st percentile with a 3.85 K/BB rate.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the same side that Adam Mazur throws from, Jordan Westburg faces a tough challenge today. In the past 14 days, Jordan Westburg's 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.7%. Jordan Westburg has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 13th percentile with a 4.36 K/BB rate.

In today's matchup, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.6% rate (95th percentile). Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.6-mph EV last year has fallen to 87.2-mph.

The #8 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The #8 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Xander Bogaerts has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 89.8-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #8 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) provides evidence that Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year with his .226 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.29 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 97th percentile.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jurickson Profar's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90.9-mph now compared to just 86.5-mph then.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand today. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #8 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Heston Kjerstad will have the handedness advantage over Adam Mazur today. Heston Kjerstad hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in the majors for lefty BABIP. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today's game. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #8 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past week's worth of games, Kyle Higashioka's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph in recent games. Compared to last season, Kyle Higashioka has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.5% to 25.8% this season. In the last week's worth of games, Kyle Higashioka's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43%.

Ramón Urías has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.