Los Angeles @ Seattle Picks & Props

Victor Robles has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage today. Victor Robles has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 91.1-mph over the last two weeks. In notching a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Mitch Garver tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Soriano. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.201) may lead us to conclude that Mitch Garver has suffered from bad luck this year with his .170 actual batting average.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.237) implies that Jo Adell has had bad variance on his side this year with his .198 actual batting average. Jo Adell's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) has been 115.6 mph this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Zach Neto has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 7 days. Zach Neto's launch angle of late (37.5° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 11.8° seasonal angle. Zach Neto has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.3° figure is among the highest in the game this year (91st percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Taylor Ward has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Taylor Ward has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 27.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.1°. Taylor Ward's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 17.8% to 24.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano. Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Dylan Moore usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano. Dylan Moore will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) implies that Dylan Moore has experienced some negative variance this year with his .212 actual batting average. Dylan Moore's 23.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in baseball: 99th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. By putting up a .334 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Logan O'Hoppe has performed in the 76th percentile for offensive skills. Logan O'Hoppe has recorded a .265 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Cal Raleigh tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today. Cal Raleigh has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 16.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rendon in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Anthony Rendon is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Anthony Rendon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 16% to 19.8%. Despite posting a .263 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Rendon has had some very poor luck given the .062 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) provides evidence that Brandon Drury has had some very poor luck this year with his .171 actual batting average.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Soriano in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Josh Rojas has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.6° figure over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Luke Raley is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage over Jose Soriano today. Luke Raley will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mickey Moniak's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 41.8% on the season to 47.6% over the past two weeks. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mickey Moniak has had bad variance on his side given the .040 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Nolan Schanuel's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Nolan Schanuel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Schanuel has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Matt Thaiss has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Mitch Haniger has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Pillar has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.