Los Angeles @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas's launch angle of late (20.6° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 14.5° seasonal figure. Josh Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.3%. Josh Rojas has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 76th percentile with a 1.97 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Taylor Ward has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Taylor Ward's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (10.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 16° seasonal mark. Taylor Ward's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 17.8% to 24.1%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has experienced some negative variance this year. His .204 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .242.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Rendon in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Anthony Rendon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Anthony Rendon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 16% to 19.8%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Rendon's true offensive talent to be a .325, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .062 deviation between that figure and his actual .263 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. In the past week, Zach Neto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 14.3%. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.8°, Zach Neto has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 37.5° figure in the last week. Zach Neto has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.3° angle is among the highest in the game this year (91st percentile).

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.237) may lead us to conclude that Jo Adell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .198 actual batting average. Placing in the 94th percentile, the hardest ball Jo Adell has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Logan O'Hoppe pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In notching a .334 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Logan O'Hoppe is ranked in the 76th percentile for offensive skills. Sporting a .265 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Logan O'Hoppe grades out in the 76th percentile.

Willie Calhoun is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Willie Calhoun will have an edge today. Willie Calhoun may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Willie Calhoun's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 40% to 47.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Nolan Schanuel will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller today. Nolan Schanuel is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Mitch Haniger will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Anderson today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Haniger has been unlucky this year, posting a .276 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .036 discrepancy.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today. Jorge Polanco has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) provides evidence that Brandon Drury has been unlucky this year with his .171 actual batting average.

Jonatan Clase pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jonatan Clase will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.47 ft/sec this year, Jonatan Clase is very quick.

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Mickey Moniak's 47.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.8%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak's true offensive ability to be a .300, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .040 difference between that figure and his actual .260 wOBA.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Tyler Anderson. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 16.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Victor Robles is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Victor Robles will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Anderson in today's game. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage today. Victor Robles has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 91.1-mph over the past 14 days.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Mitch Garver will have the upper hand today. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Mitch Garver will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.201) provides evidence that Mitch Garver has had bad variance on his side this year with his .170 actual batting average.

Dylan Moore will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) suggests that Dylan Moore has suffered from bad luck this year with his .212 actual batting average. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dylan Moore ranks in the 99th percentile with a 23.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.