Houston @ Minnesota Picks & Props

In the majors, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Joe Ryan will hold the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Ryan's large platoon split. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's game. Jeremy Pena has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 86-mph over the past 7 days.

In the majors, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Hunter Brown will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Correa in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros. Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.3°, Carlos Correa has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) over the past 14 days. Despite posting a .378 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has been very fortunate given the .035 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

In the majors, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest. Joe Ryan will hold the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Ryan's large platoon split. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today's game. Yainer Diaz's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85-mph in the last week. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 21.6% to 12.2%.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Joey Loperfido will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Joey Loperfido are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Checking in at the 81st percentile, Ryan Jeffers has posted a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Carlos Santana has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.78 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 85th percentile.

Chas McCormick's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Chas McCormick has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 89.9-mph. Chas McCormick's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (20.2° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 13.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past two weeks, Willi Castro has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 19.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jose Miranda is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Miranda will hold that advantage today. Jose Miranda's launch angle this season (15.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 10° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitters such as Byron Buxton with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Byron Buxton will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Byron Buxton has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.1% seasonal rate to 20.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jake Meyers's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jake Meyers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.2-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.9°, Jake Meyers has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.2° mark over the last week.

Jon Singleton is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Jon Singleton will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today. This year, the hardest ball Jon Singleton has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph (a reliable stat to evaluate power), checking in at the 94th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Alex Bregman has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today. There has been a significant improvement in Mauricio Dubon's launch angle from last year's 9.7° to 13.7° this year. Mauricio Dubon has put up a .295 batting average this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage today. Max Kepler has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph average.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Grae Kessinger has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Austin Martin has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.