St. Louis @ Washington Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesse Winker ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Given Josiah Gray's large platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson in today's matchup. Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Burleson has been lucky given the .020 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Ildemaro Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.45 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray in today's matchup.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn in today's game. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.7-mph average last season has fallen to 86-mph. Masyn Winn's launch angle of late (20.6° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 15.1° seasonal angle. Masyn Winn has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) over the last 7 days.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Because of Josiah Gray's large platoon split, Nolan Arenado will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Nolan Arenado's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (26.1° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 15.5° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Brendan Donovan will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the last 14 days, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 5%. Willson Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 12% on the season to 5% over the past two weeks.

The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt today. By putting up a 3.7 K/BB rate this year, Paul Goldschmidt has demonstrated weak plate discipline, ranking in the 21st percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Josiah Gray will hold the platoon advantage over Pedro Pages today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Gray's large platoon split.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Dylan Carlson will face a mismatch against Josiah Gray and his large platoon split in today's matchup. Dylan Carlson has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Dylan Carlson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (26.9°) is a significant increase over his 15° angle last season.

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today. When it comes to plate discipline, Nick Senzel's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.84 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 83rd percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. Given Josiah Gray's large platoon split, Jose Fermin will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today. Jose Fermin has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 28.21 ft/sec to 28.9 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature of the day at 96°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Harold Ramírez has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.