Tampa Bay @ Kansas City Picks & Props

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr.'s launch angle recently (2.8° over the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 14.2° seasonal figure.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Yandy Diaz encounters a tough challenge today. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Yandy Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.6 mph to 85.7 mph.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. Today, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (93rd percentile). Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 90.5-mph. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today. Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage against Amed Rosario in today's matchup. In today's matchup, Amed Rosario is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (98th percentile). Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. There has been a significant decline in Amed Rosario's launch angle from last year's 7.5° to 3.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Jackson's true offensive talent to be a .273, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .139 disparity between that figure and his actual .134 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Pepiot today. Kyle Isbel may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Isbel will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Siri has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 15.7% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last 7 days. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Siri's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph in recent games.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Nick Loftin will hold that advantage today. Nick Loftin has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.3% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the past 14 days. Nick Loftin has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 86.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 84-mph average.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.6°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 33.3° figure in the past 14 days. Last season, Isaac Paredes had an average launch angle of 18° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage today. Hunter Renfroe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 14 days. Hunter Renfroe's launch angle this year (18.9°) is significantly better than his 14.9° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Richie Palacios will have the upper hand today. Richie Palacios has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .301 rate is a fair amount lower than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Richie Palacios's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.94 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 39.5% to 45%. Sporting a .337 BABIP this year, Jose Caballero has performed in the 87th percentile.

Michael Massey is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Michael Massey will have the upper hand in today's game. Michael Massey has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, MJ Melendez will have an edge today. MJ Melendez is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and MJ Melendez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an edge in today's game. Checking in at the 76th percentile, Ben Rortvedt has put up a .271 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for LHB batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Freddy Fermin has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.