Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Over the past two weeks, Trent Grisham's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph recently. Trent Grisham's launch angle this year (23.9°) is a considerable increase over his 18.3° angle last year. Over the past 14 days, Trent Grisham's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 25.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today. Alex Verdugo has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 91.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Juan Soto projects as the 2nd-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Juan Soto has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last season to 19.4% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's game. Colton Cowser has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 16.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days. In the past two weeks, Colton Cowser's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.1-mph in recent games. Over the last 7 days, Colton Cowser's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.366) implies that Ryan O'Hearn has had bad variance on his side this year with his .346 actual wOBA.

Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle recently (32.4° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 22.6° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.204) suggests that Cedric Mullins II has had some very poor luck this year with his .188 actual batting average. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 98th percentile with a 22.6° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in baseball.

Jorge Mateo has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Gleyber Torres will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Povich in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Adley Rutschman has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 16.1% in the past 14 days. Over the past week, Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 101.2-mph of late. Adley Rutschman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 19.3% on the season to 25.8% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich today. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. DJ LeMahieu will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Santander has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.4% seasonal rate to 31.3% in the past 7 days. Anthony Santander has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.6-mph average. Over the past week, Anthony Santander's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph lately. Based on Statcast metrics, Ryan Mountcastle is in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .268.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Povich today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge today. Gunnar Henderson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97-mph average to last season's 94-mph mark. Gunnar Henderson has recorded a .405 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Anthony Volpe will have the upper hand in today's game. Anthony Volpe has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Jose Trevino will have an advantage in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage today. Jose Trevino has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last week. Over the last 7 days, Jose Trevino's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph in recent games.

Ramon Urias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias has recorded a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile.