Houston @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jake Meyers will have an edge in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Cooper Hummel will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Cooper Hummel pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Cooper Hummel's 96.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Victor Caratini will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Victor Caratini has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Robert will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Mauricio Dubon has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time. The #6 venue in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Mauricio Dubon's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 85.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 78.5-mph in the past 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.286) implies that Mauricio Dubon has been lucky this year with his .322 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Chas McCormick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Chas McCormick has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jose Altuve will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Alex Bregman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Yainer Diaz's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Yainer Diaz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Lenyn Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the past week, Lenyn Sosa's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.5%. Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .220 BA is deflated compared to his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Jeremy Pena will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Andrew Vaughn has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Andrew Vaughn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Tommy Pham has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's game.

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the majors. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Korey Lee has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph mark.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Paul DeJong generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage today. Paul DeJong's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (21.4°) is considerably better than his 15.5° figure last season.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Nicky Lopez will have the upper hand in today's game. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nicky Lopez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nicky Lopez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.